Friday, 17 June 2011

A Public Love Affair

I will happily admit that the NCAA College World Series is my favourite NCAA championship, much more so than the Final Four or the increasingly farcical BCS Championship game. I have been told the Frozen Four is a blast but, having only a passing interest in hockey and absolutely no interest in the University of Minnesota-Duluth Bulldogs I can’t make form an informed decision about that specific championship. I already have an unexplainable interest in college sports having come to them at a very late stage and the World Series has especially captured my imagination. 2010 was the first tournament I followed emphatically and this year’s will be the second, there are storylines a plenty, there always are and the biggest is the host site: Omaha.

The site lost some of its mythical qualities with the destruction of Jonny Rosenblatt Stadium but the NCAA kept the eight team tournament in Omaha, Nebraska which has become the heart of the tournament. Would it succeed elsewhere? Say down in Alex Box in Baton Rouge, Louisiana? Or even as a touring spectacle in the same model of the BCS? Yes it would but it wouldn’t be the same. Omaha has been the home of the College World Series since 1950 and the plan is to keep it there until 2035, by that point it would be almost impossible to take the tournament away at that stage, although this is the NCAA so who knows. The week of the College World Series is one the most economically beneficial to the city of Omaha, for example the 2007 World Series brought in $41 million to the city. The plot thickens this year with the first CWS being held at the brand new TD Ameritrade Park instead of the historic ballpark on the hill. Whether the new ballpark takes away some of the character remains to be seen, although a lot of that depends on how the fans take to the new cathedral to college baseball. As long as the fans from LSU continue flocking to the city I am sure that won’t be a problem.

The most enthralling team coming to the tournament this year are the California Golden Bears, a team who should be winding down their existence not preparing to play for a championship. In September 2010 the university announced that, as part of spending cuts, the athletic department would cut several programmes including the baseball team. Through charitable donations, help from friends and family and an endless campaign saw the team raise $9.7 million and successfully achieve their goal of reinstatement in April. After losing five of their final seven weekend series the Bears limped in to the postseason as a number 3 Regional seed in the Houston Regional. After losing to Baylor in their opening game the Bears beat Alcorn State, Rice and Baylor twice to reach the Super Regional where they despatched Dallas Baptist in two games to reach Omaha. Cal will begin play against number 1 seed Virginia on Sunday as huge underdogs, as they have been for the majority of the year, watching how this team reacts after its rollercoaster emotional journey will be one of the most intriguing aspects of this year’s World Series.

The other thing I will be watching closely is the progress of the three Southeastern Conference schools in Omaha this year, yes they were all supposed to be here and yes I may be a little biased towards SEC schools but it is the conference others measure themselves against and it’s always interesting to see how they react to the big game scenarios. The three schools, Florida, Vanderbilt and South Carolina all offer something a little different and equally interesting. Florida is perhaps the most complete team in Omaha this year especially if they can get Sophomore lefty Brian Johnson back from the concussion he suffered in the SEC tournament. They have a deadly rotation with Johnson as well as Hudson Randall and Karsten Whitson anchoring one of the nation’s best pitching staffs that combined with a potent line-up saw them start and finish the season as the number 1 ranked team in the country. Vanderbilt began the season as a team heralded for their pitching and very little else but, as the year progressed, Aaron Westlake and Jason Esposito became increasingly influential figures in an offence that surprised almost everyone, finishing the season fifth in the nation in hitting (.319) and fourteenth in the nation in runs scored per game (7.1). Not that this has affected their pitching staff in any negative way, the pitching staff has gone 5-0 in the postseason with a 1.20 ERA with 47 strikeouts in 45 innings. They also had all three members of the weekend rotation drafted in the first six rounds while the team set an SEC record by having 12 players drafted this year. The Gamecocks of South Carolina come to Omaha this year a very different team to the one that won the College World Series last year. With Sam Dyson and Blake Cooper both leaving school after last year’s success it looked like Ray Tanner would struggle replacing the lost starters, as it was they got even better. The rotation was fronted by last year’s World Series hero Michael Roth who put up the best starting pitcher ERA in the nation with a 1.02 mark and has been backed by the nation’s premier closer in Matt Price who put up a 2.25 ERA in 48 innings across 30 appearances. Expect the Gamecocks to hit the ball well all week, especially Christian Walker and Adrian Morales, but whether they can repeat depends wholly on their pitching.

The College World Series should be a significantly bigger event because of its history, its sense of occasion and the event. It might not have the pomp and circumstance that surrounds the BCS Championship game or the Final Four but it is as close to the raw emotion of baseball that you’re likely to see and that is the one thing the new stadium can’t take away, the emotion of the occasion. If there is one thing you do this week watch at least one game from Omaha and see what all the fuss is about.

Wednesday, 4 May 2011

Summertime Blues?


When Tommy Hanson throws the first pitch at 4:10 eastern time this afternoon it will begin the most important stretch of Tommy’s young career. Through April Hanson has been, for the most part, brilliant. Despite two unsatisfactory starts against the Nationals and Mets the 24 year-old righty from Oklahoma has put up a 2.57 ERA, good for eighth best in the National League, with a 1.06 WHIP and 34 strikeouts in 35 innings. Historically (not including this year) April has been good for Tommy as he has a career 2.17 ERA in the first month of the season and has an average 10.26 K/9 rate. It is in May and June that the struggles have set in for Tommy. In May he has a career ERA of 5.09 and an opponent’s average of .265 before improving slightly in June but maintaining an inexplicable 4.28 ERA. Tommy then improves through July and August before being positively ace-like in September again with a career 2.26 ERA in the season’s final month. The struggles that Tommy has endured in the second and third months of the season are baffling because of his excellence at any other point, I was going to suggest that maybe the increasing hit was a problem for Hanson but it’s no hotter in Atlanta in June than July, when he has a 3.21 ERA. It could be teams seeing him for the second time an making their adjustments before Tommy has made his but again that seems like something that one of his coaches would have altered. I have no idea why Tommy struggles so much in May but today will give us an idea of how he will begin this year, one when he should be making the fabled, mythical, sanctified “next step”!

Tommy should have begun May last night but didn’t because of those annoying storm’s that drift across the South at intermittent intervals in the early summer months. Instead he gets to be the appetiser for Tim Hudson, making it two tough righties the Brewers have to face in one night. Talking of the Braves pitching two very encouraging signs for the Braves, firstly the team currently has the fourth best ERA in all of baseball and third best in the National League with a 3.14 ERA in 30 games and have racked up the joint-fourth most strikeouts in baseball with 229 in 272.2 innings. The other welcome news is that Julio Teheran, the Braves number one prospect and regarded by many as the best right handed prospect in the games, was named the International League pitcher of the week as he went 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA and 14 strikeouts in 14 innings at the same time as being the youngest player in the IL.

Tuesday, 26 April 2011

Heating the Hot Seat


We are beginning to reach the point in the season where aberrations begin to feel a lot more like trends and slumps become struggles, unfortunately for the Braves the offense is still slumping and the pitching is struggling to carry it. And after last night’s long, long loss in San Diego Fredi Gonzalez’s honeymoon period has come to an abrupt and ugly end. Are the issues that anyone holding a bat while wearing a Braves jersey are currently experiencing all Fredi’s fault? No they aren’t but we heard about the more aggressive approach this Braves line-up was going to take, well the aggression is there, every time Dan Uggla flails away at a slider down and away on a two strike count the aggression is there, but for a team that lead the National League in OBP and Base on Balls last year is aggression really a good thing? For some guys like Nate McLouth who struggles to take his walks but was being way too hesitant at the plate last year being aggressive has actually helped him (and remember all things are relative) to post a .244 average and his .190 mark from last year. However when you see Jason Heyward going up and swinging at a fastball up and away on the first pitch it cannot possibly be a good thing. As if to illustrate my point the Braves rank 15th of 16 in teams in the National League in OBP (.296) and 14th of 16 in average (.226) while having the second most at-bats. While watching the sweep of the defending World Champion Giants over the weekend when the Braves drew 16 walks in the 3 games they then conspired to draw no walks in 13 innings. That’s right exactly ZERO walks in three and a half hours of baseball.

The hitting is not what Fredi is catching heat for though, his adventurous (or not) management of the bullpen has drawn criticism from fans using sabermetrics (capitolavenueclub.com) and some applying the good ol’ fashioned eye ball test (talkingchop.com). Whatever the medium of analysis it is being widely accepted that Gonzalez plays Fantasy Baseball and has Craig Kimbrel as his closer and manages his real team to maximise his fantasy success. If only it was that easy to understand what’s going on. One of the fashionable topics being discussed by the talking heads of the statistical baseball world this year has been the management of bullpens and the actual role of a closer; this was further amplified by Ron Washington’s sporadic use of Neftali Feliz in last year’s play-offs. So what opportunities did Gonzalez have to maximise Kimbrels value to the team? The bottom of the 7th inning was his first chance with Maybin on second and two outs Fredi lifted Eric O’Flaherty in favour of righty Scott Linebrink to face Nick Hundley. Linebrink has been struggling and after the game Chipper recognised as much, Liney quickly gave up an RBI double to tie the game. That was his first chance but in the seventh maybe a little early but certainly plausible. Using Jonny Venters in the ninth inning is a reasonable choice but taking him out after only one inning is an absolute joke, let’s remember that Venters had been a starter all his career before the beginning of 2010 so it’s not like he can’t go longer. The brevity of Jonny’s appearance last night is just a footnote to the bumbling bullpen management. After choosing to take Venters out for the ninth why not let Kembo pitch the ninth to ensure you force extra innings, instead Gonzalez went with right-handed Cory Gearrin making his Major League debut to pitch the bottom of the ninth in a tie game. Gearrin was actually really good but who could have predicted that? In fact Gearrin ended up pitching two perfect innings but having Kimbrel pitch those two would have expanded the ‘pen and maybe allowed Gearrin to pitch the 11th and 12th. I am not in any way opposed to using Gearrin in this game, I believe that if you’re having a guy in the bullpen you need to be willing to use him otherwise it is wasting a roster spot so a little credit to Fredi for not being afraid to use him. At the top of the 11th inning Gearrin (who is wearing my spellchecker on his own) was replaced by Christian Martinez which, again, does not upset me too much. Martinez is designated as our long reliever and two of the worst offensive teams in the league were about to begin the 11th inning of a 3-3 game so why not throw Martinez in. Christian’s first two innings were uneventful as he pitched both perfectly using Petco Park to the best of his ability recording five of the six outs on fly balls. Then the circus came to town. The pitchers spot in the line-up came up to bat in the top of the 13th with Nate McLouth on first base, rather than pinch hit David Ross for him and allow Mac to rest Gonzalez allowed Martinez to try and bunt the runner up. Christian bunted into a force out of McLouth at second and nearly had himself doubled off but made it to first in time. The very next hitter Martinez completed his goal to be involved in a double play as he wandered to far from first on a Martin Prado fly out to right field and Chris Denorfia took great pleasure in doubling off the Braves pitcher. This lead to Martinez pitching the bottom of the 13th where he recorded one out before walking Nick Hundley and receiving a visit on the mound. You would have thought this would be a visit to replace him and use Kimbrel or even Jairo Asencio but no, I don’t know whether the visit to see if Martinez was having fun or what he would like for dinner but he stayed in the game to pitch to Ryan Ludwick who quickly deposited the ball over the left field wall.

At my count that’s at least five times that using Kimbrel would have been a better choice that the one the was actually made, unfortunately Kembo got to enjoy an evening reclining in the bullpen seats rather than do anything quite as exerting as his job. If the bullpen is managed like this the rest of the season Kimbrel might not get all that many save opportunities.

Friday, 22 April 2011

Dress Down Day


It’s Friday and everyone’s loosened their ties a little, maybe even worn jeans instead of dress pants into the office and, when I sat down to write this little old blog, I kind of had that Friday feeling and thought I’d just go with. This might end up being purely stream of conscious and might not even make that much sense but I just fancied writing something a little more relaxed, so here we go.

Imagine if there were a 21-year-old guy at a premium offensive position in his second big league season who hit exactly .300 in his rookie season and was now hitting .375 with a .398 OBP and a .513 slugging percentage while playing improved defense at one of the most important defensive positions. Wouldn’t you think there would be regular tributes to his immense talents and his incredible long term potential? Well we have the player in the Cubs Starlin Castro but, as yet, he hasn’t been getting the kind of pub his numbers deserve and it seems somewhat mystifying. In his rookie season Castro had 506 plate appearances and put up a line of .300/.347/.408 while the NL Rookie of the Year, the Giants Buster Posey, had a slash line that read .305/.357/.505. As you can see the only drastically distinguishable talent is Posey’s power while the San Francisco catcher had 63 less plate appearances than Chicago shortstop. The intriguing thing to begin this season is that, although it is around 20 games into the season, Castro has not had a precipitous drop in production like other players that started hot (see Adam Lind). Looking at the advanced stats Castro’s BABIP is inflated which would usually indicate an impending offensive recession, the difference with the 21 year old is his career BABIP, including the Minor Leagues, is about 50 points above league average meaning that this might just be the way he hits. I just thought it was really weird that Castro isn’t being touted for all kinds of accolades but, whether it’s because he’s playing for an unreadable Cubs team or not, there doesn’t seem to be much hype around a projectable young player.

There are three very interesting young pitchers in the AL (I’m not including the Oakland A’s who have three on their own) who all profile as front of the rotation starters but have very different profiles. Michael Pineda has built up a lot of hype for himself with his power stuff and gigantic frame and has been equally dynamic in his first taste of the Major League mound. His mid to upper 90’s fastball has generated a 7.45 strikeout per nine innings rate which is interestingly the lowest it has been in his career, in fact in three minor league seasons this never dipped below 8 K/9 and peaked at 10.97 in any substantial sample size. The problem is that thanks to the Mariners bringing Pineda up early this year they denied him a chance to develop a genuine off speed pitch to get out the tough lefties he will face. Because of this lack of top notch secondary stuff Pineda could get shelled a couple of time with lefty heavy line-ups sitting on his fastball, and this brings about all kind of questions about the Seattle organisation and the real need to have Pineda up now but that’s for an entire different book...sorry...blog. The most experienced of the three (meaning he pitched in the big leagues last year) is the Blue Jays Kyle Drabek, the son of former Pirate Doug. Drabek moved north of the border as the centrepiece in the Roy Halladay deal and is a genuine centrepiece prospect. In 3 starts last season Drabek put up a 4.76 ERA but with a 3.48 xFIP, relying on his tailing fastball and sharp breaking ball he has improved his stirkeouts per nine innings and has a respectable 3.00 ERA accompanied by a worrying 4.35 xFIP. I have tried to see as much of Drabek as possible despite his best efforts to evade me, a lot of the time he looks like a young pitcher building up his durability as, for the first five or six innings, he looks dominant but when he tires he tires very quickly and gets fly ball happy. Whether Drabek becomes a decent Halladay impersonator is unlikely but if he can keep up his early season form his calling card could be his consistency. After thinking about it a little I actually think that, of this trio, Orioles lefty Zach Britton could have the best career because, at 23, he has a well developed arsenal including a devastating sinker that has produced 56.7% ground ball outs. He also has good secondary stuff including a slider that, when it’s working, can really throw hitter but his sinker will be his money maker. It is a sustainable pitch that really only improves the more he will throw it and more he learns about the art of pitching. While he doesn’t have the workhorse build of Derek Lowe his repertoire is incredibly similar and he is in a rotation a lot earlier in his career than D-Lowe and has landed in a good educational environment. It’s not like Lowe has a bad career either.

Quick Braves footnote about last night’s disheartening walk off loss to the Dodgers. I felt sick watching it and hope that Craig Kimbrel was taken to the metaphorical woodshed for not backing up home plate in the bottom of the ninth.

Wednesday, 20 April 2011

High Performance


Braves Beat- I will be the first person to admit that Brian McCann is one of my favourite players in baseball, although I feel a slight pang of disappointment every time he swings over the top of a breaking ball on a 2 strike count. Prior to the season there was a rush of writers scrambling to write the next piece about how this was now Brian’s team, how he was now the leader and his intangibles were an unappreciated part of Mac’s game, well maybe all that ink had a point. McCann has exploded these first two weeks of the season in a way that no one expected, in the 17 games Heap has played he has put up a monstrous .356 average with a .433 OBP while only hitting two home runs. His BABIP of .422 suggests that he is going to recede very soon to a more human level of performance but what his first 67 plate appearances has given us is the opportunity to really appreciate how good the Braves catcher is. McCann was projected to hit between .280 and .295 this season with around 20 home runs and will probably do just that but, especially with Joe Mauer heading to the DL with bizarre leg problems, Braves fans should always keep in mind how lucky we’ve all been having Mac behind the plate for the last six years and at least the next three.

So Fredi made his line-up change and moved Jason Heyward up to the second spot and dropped Nate McLouth all the way down to eighth in the order and it has worked to perfection...almost. Since he made the move one outfielder has gone 4-for-8 with a walk while the other has gone 0-for-9 with no walks. Little guessing game which is Jason Heyward and which is Nate McLouth? Well apparently McLouth is a .500 hitter when in the eighth hole while Heyward is barely a Major League player in the 2 hole. The ironic thing is that at the bottom of the order McLouth should see less hittable pitches than hitting in front of Chipper but he seems to be doing more with worse pitches. Two games is almost impossible to call a sample size but the unusual immediate effect caught my eye.

The Braves scored eight runs in the ninth inning last night against the Dodgers to make a pitching duel into a laugher, however the question I found myself asking was what is the worth of that kind of outburst in a game like that? Probably not a whole lot in the grand scheme of things unless the Braves can make this kind of offense on a more consistent basis. Hopefully that ninth inning will spark the bats the way the offensive surge unlike the 10 runs in Washington did.

Derek Lowe looks to back up last night’s 10-1 win tonight and get the West Coast trip really going in the Braves favour, however Lowe will be going on short rest in another display of his unselfishness and value to the team. Because of the rain out on Friday night Lowe pitched Sunday and it was him or Jair Jurrjens going on short rest or some roster fiddling would have to take place. Much like the end of last year Lowe bit the bullet and actually seemed to relish the opportunity, something refreshing to see in a supposed ace. The only real reason I mention this is because I, like most other fans, gave D-Lowe no end of criticism when he was struggling last year and feel I only have to be fair now he’s finding success.

Ball Four

1. 1. Josh Johnson is stupid good! It seems that Johnson carries a no-hit bid into the later innings of almost every start he is making this year going closest in Atlanta when Freddie Freeman broke up a no-no effort with a double in the eighth. In his four starts this season Johnson is 3-0 with a 1.00 ERA, he has pitched 27 innings across those four starts giving up only 10 hits, 3 earned runs while striking out 27 and posting a WHIP of 0.59. JJ was one of the trendy picks to win the Cy Young at the beginning of the year and is already putting up the second best ERA in the Majors behind only Gio Gonzalez of the A’s. He also happens to be one of the most enjoyable pitchers to watch in the big leagues thanks to the speed he works and his power strikeout stuff.

2. 2. In the wake of Johnson’s 2-hit 7 inning effort Brett Anderson gave an late night cap against the Boston Red Sox that could very possibly be even better than JJ’s. In 8 innings against the BoSox Anderson gave up only four hits and one walk while allowing no runs and striking out 8 Sox. There was a lot of press given to his team mates Trevor Cahill and Gio Gonzalez and, mainly because of the occasional injury Anderson was somehow overlooked in the A’s rotation. Let’s remember quickly he is a 23-year-old in his third year in the big leagues who has a career ERA of 3.40 and put up a 2.80 mark in 19 starts last year. Like Johnson the A’s lefty is a thrill to watch pitch and should front this very good young rotation.

3. 3. I don’t expect the Royals or Indians to win anything close to 50% of their games but, despite this being April, this could be the two teams moment in the sun and they should get the coverage they might not get later in the year. They are currently in the midst of a series for the top spot in the AL central and it has so far been a wonderful series. Monday night saw a 10 inning game that the Indians managed to steal 7-3 thanks to a four run tenth. Last night the teams played out a dramatic 5-4 game in which both teams raked up 9 hits apiece. They currently have a combined record of 23-11 and are currently two of the most entertaining teams to watch in the league and could remain interesting as their respective influx of top prospects arrive. Credit to Alex Gordon who is hitting .361 and has a 13 game hit streak going after many began speculating he had become a Brandon Wood sized bust.

4. 4. Jake Peavy left a rehab start at Double-A Birmingham after throwing only 15 pitches complaining of irritation in his shoulder, an MRI back in Chicago proved there was nothing serious to worry about and he will not begin a program of anti-inflammatory drugs with a view to throwing again three days into the six day program. Any issue with Jake Peavy’s shoulder is a shame for any baseball fan, especially me with my strange obsession with pitching (more on that at a later date), is that we are being deprived the opportunity to see one of the premier pitches of our time in his peak years. A real shame.

What to Watch: Derek Lowe on short rest could either be a triumph or an adventure. Also any chance to see Jered Weaver pitch at the moment is worth taking especially in a divisional rubber game against the Texas Rangers.

Tuesday, 19 April 2011

A Start, An End and All the In Betweens


Braves Beat- Like team mate Tommy Hanson the Braves ace Tim Hudson has also struggled in the early innings of games this year but, unlike Hanson, more often than not Hudson has steadied the ship and produced highly effective and even brilliant outings. Unfortunately for Huddy his stretch of survival ended late last night (well actually I was waking up when Jonathon Broxton was trying to give up a second Dodger game in a row, one of the bi-products of following baseball in England). Hudson did last 6 innings, continuing his streak in 2011 of lasting 6 in all of his starts, but gave up four runs on six hits and two walks. This is the second start in a row Hudson has given up more than four runs, something he did only once last year. There was widespread acceptance that Hudson would regress this year given that his FIP and xFIP were both nearly a run higher than his ERA, this means that several starts like this shouldn’t come as a surprise or of concern to Braves fans.

Reassuringly for those Braves fans was the two hit performance of Dan Uggla last night who went 2-for-4 with a double, stolen base and a run scored. This raised the Braves new slugger’s batting average to a monstrous .197. All joking aside this could be a huge breakthrough for Dan who only had one multi-hit game previous to last night and his only previous stolen base attempt saw him bounce off the bag and be tagged out. Hopefully a couple of hits for Dan last night will get him on the kind of role a successful Braves team needs. The other big note from last night’s line-up was Fredi sticking with Jason Heyward hitting second in the order even with Nate McLouth in the order. Heyward didn’t have the kind of explosion his supporters were hoping for but hopefully the order with Martin hitting lead off, Heyward second and McLouth eighth will be will get the sputtering offence into the rhythm it has so far lacked.

Peter Moylan landed on the 15-Day DL with what has been discovered to be a bulging disc in his back, a similar problem to the one he experienced in 2001 and 2003 although Moylan feels this time it is less serious to the previous pains that resulted in surgery in ’03. The Braves medical staff will reassess the right-hander in two weeks and see how his back is then; until he is able to be revaluated the Braves are unsure as what Moylan will be able to do. Peter’s 4.15 ERA belied his importance in the early part of the season to the Braves bullpen but anyone who saw his two strikeouts on Thursday night against the Marlins should appreciate the role the Aussie plays.

Ball Four

1. The battles of the West were both somewhat less competitive than I and the rest of the baseball watching world were hoping for them to be but they produced two very different types of pitching performances that were equally effective. In the launching pad of Coors Field the Giants ace Tim Lincecum dominated one of the hottest line-ups in baseball in a performance to match ‘The Freak’s’ best. In 7.2 innings Lincecum gave up three hits and one run after carrying a no-hitter into the seventh while striking out 10 Rockies. With all the talk of the Phillies Fab Four people seemed to somehow forget the brilliance of the Giants Championship winning rotation that Lincecum fronts and led his team to an 8-1 victory. While Lincecum was spinning a mile high masterpiece CJ Wilson was pitching a similarly effective game while missing far fewer bats. Wilson lasted seven innings against the hot Angels and gave up ten hits somehow allowing only one run. The 9 strikeouts Wilson piled up helped him survive what could have been a rough outing while the Angels going 1-for-8 with runners in scoring position. The 7-1 win the Rangers produced against the Angels broke LA’s five game winning streak and gets the Rangers back to winning ways after losing their series in New York.

2. The AL East produced two outstanding pitching performances yesterday that reminded me why I had both the Rays and Red Sox winning more than 90 games. Those lucky enough to live in LA, San Francisco or anywhere West of the Rocky mountains were about to enjoy some Patriots Day baseball with breakfast while 11 Eastern Time is the most accessible time I have ever experienced watching a game here. It appears that Daisuke Matsuzaka also enjoys an early matinee as he produced his best performance of the year, maybe even longer. Dice-K went 7 innings against the Blue Jays giving up only 1 hit and no runs while throwing only 89 pitches, a sharp comparison to his two earlier starts when he took 96 pitches to get through 5 innings in his first start and 47 to get through 2 in his second. The performance of the Japanese righty combined with the offensive surge of Jed Lowrie has moved the Sox back to 5-10 and saw them win consecutive games for the first time this year. In Tampa David Price was even better than his Bostonian counterpart. Price pitched 8 innings against the Chicago White Sox allowing only six base runners on four hits and two walks while striking out nine Sox. Price has been quietly improving since his rocky beginning to the season and with last night’s performance levelled his record at 2-2 and lowered his ERA to an impressive 2.83 mark. The difference between these two performances to me is that this should be an admired one-off by Dice-K and something closer to Price’s true level of performance.

3. Tonight sees the return to the mound of Ubaldo Jimenez who, thanks to a cut cuticle has not pitched since giving up six runs in six innings on Opening Day. Whilst 2011 has begun significantly led impressively for Ubaldo than 2010 when he went 5-0 with a 0.79 ERA in his first five starts he is re-joining a team that currently shares the best record in the early stages of the season. Jimenez will face the San Francisco Giants who he has tangled with intermittently at important stages of his career. He currently sports a 5-5 record against the defending World Series champions with an impressive 3.13 ERA. He hooks up tonight with Jonathon Sanchez who, like Ubaldo, also has a no-hitter in his not so distant past.

4. One of the best stories coming out of Spring Training was Rule 5 draft pick Brad Emaus winning the second base job for the New York Mets. After 14 games and 37 At-Bats the feel good story seems to be over. Today the Mets announced they were designating Emaus for assignment after he hit .162 in the two weeks he lasted in the New York line-up before seemingly being replaced by Daniel Murphy. Thanks to the complexities of some of baseballs inner workings Emaus shouldn’t go investing in any real estate anywhere any time soon. The Mets must first pass him through Rule 5 waivers before offering him back to Toronto for half the amount they paid for him, if they wish to keep him they must work out a trade with Jays although that seems unlikely. I was personally really happy to see a guy like Emaus getting a shot at the big leagues and I will be a little sad to see him go wherever he goes and hopefully he can build a Major League career for himself.

Monday, 18 April 2011

Ball Four: Pitching and Equality


Braves Beat- The Braves wrapped up the recent home stand with a series win over the New York Mets behind the strong pitching during Saturdays double header. Derek Lowe was good once again throwing 6 innings while giving up 5 hits and 2 runs, D-Lowe levelled his season record at 2-2 and further solidified his 1.82 ERA. The Braves rode that outing and four solo home runs by Alex Gonzalez (2) Chipper and Freddie Freeman to a 4-2 win capped by Craig Kimbrel’s fourth save of the season. The performance Lowe gave to the Turner Field crowd was better later in the same evening by the returning Jair Jurrjens circa 2009. After spending a year tearing the entire right side of his body JJ returned the Turner Field mound after giving everyone a fright with another trip to the DL to protect his strained oblique muscle, an injury that seems to be already forgotten. Jurrjens spun a 7 inning, 2 hit gem throwing exactly 100 pitches and walked only 1 batter. Multi-hit games from Martin Prado, Chipper and Eric Hinske gave JJ and the ‘pen all the support they needed as George Sherrill and Scott Linebrink struck out 5 of the 6 batter they faced.

Unfortunately for the Bravos Tommy Hanson couldn’t finish off the teams first sweep of the year as he continued his early game struggles, giving up two runs on three hits in the first innings. When that first inning finally finished Hanson was dominant despite only working five innings Tommy struck out nine Mets. The three runs Hanson gave up proved enough for the Mets to snap their seven game losing streak and see the Braves offense sleep its way through another Sunday afternoon. Worryingly for Braves fans we may have another elite pitcher named Tom that struggles in the early innings, the big challenge for Tommy Hanson will be to improve his efficiency. The 3.2 innings against the Nationals took him 68 pitches, the 5.1 innings against the Brewers took 89 and after 5 innings on Sunday he was 97. Whether or not Tommy can improve his efficiency will ultimately prove how intelligent a pitcher he is and will be.

Ball Four

1. The Oakland A’s and their young ace Trevor Cahill are positioning themselves for the kind of pitching-led challenge they planned all winter. Cahill turned in his best performance of the young season yesterday striking out 9 Detroit Tigers over 8 innings that included only 4 hits and a single run. The Athletics pitching staff is already setting the best ERA mark in the majors with a team 2.59 mark. The need to place Dallas Braden on the DL today will cause a slight weakness but could open up a starting spot for righty prospect Tyson Ross to make Braden’s next scheduled start. Another interesting note is that four of the top five ERA’s in the Major’s a being set by American League teams and the top three marks by three AL West teams in the A’s, Angels and Rangers.

2. Felix Hernandez suffered his second consecutive poor start and now has a 4.33 ERA in his four starts. There a plenty of reasons for Felix to be struggling mentally but almost none for him to be struggling physically. The losing mentality in Seattle and ineptness of his offense would bore and frustrate the best human being and with the promotion of Michael Pineda he suddenly has a challenger to his crown. There have been whisperings that the time may be coming for the Mariners to trade the 2010 AL Cy Young winner and the team’s trading of Cliff Lee proves they are will to deal a quality pitcher but the question is how tradable is King Felix? His current contract has him tied in until 2014 with salaries of $10 million this year, $18.5 million in 2012, $19.5 million in 2013 and finally $20 million in 2014. There are maybe only 3 or 4 teams in baseball that could afford the contract but of those teams maybe only 1 or 2 have the pieces to make the trade happen. Of course it is only two starts.

3. The NL West was widely predicted to be one of the tightest races in baseball with three very good teams as well as the wild-card Padres, Sunday proved how close the division truly could be. All five teams were involved in games decided in the eighth inning or later Sunday in all kinds of games ranging from slugfests to pitching duals. The most entertaining game was between two division rivals in the Arizona Diamondbacks and the San Francisco Giants who tangled in a 12 inning battle that ended when Stephen Drew singled in Justin Upton to give the D’Backs a deserved win. The importance of Upton and Drew to the Arizona team was on full display in this win as they combined for four of the D’Backs 11 hits including Drew’s game winner. The Padres, despite being the worst hitting team in the National League they managed to piece together a four run eighth inning against the Houston Astros to record an 8-6 win. The lack of production from the Padres line-up should mean that there are plenty of close games in the Padres future but most probably won’t turner out as well as this one. The Dodgers got an outstanding performance from Chad Billingsley who pitched 8 innings, giving up only 2 hits and striking out 11. This performance only makes Billingsley inconsistencies even more frustrating knowing how great he came be. It did look like the Dodgers would waste this effort as Jonathon Broxton gave up the go ahead run the top ninth setting up the Cardinals for an unlikely win. The two best hitters in the LA line-up had different ideas; Andre Ethier led off the ninth with a double before Matt Kemp sent a Ryan Franklin offering over the center field fence for a thrilling Dodger win. Whilst all this was going on the Rockies were continuing their Major League best start to the season with an eighth inning charge over the Chicago Cubs as, like the Padres, the Rockies put up four runs in the eighth and rode it to their 12th victory. This division seems to be even tighter and balanced than anyone imagined

4. Let’s do a little bit of college ball to round out today given some huge series this weekend. The defending national champion South Carolina Gamecocks knocked off the number 1 Vanderbilt Commodores winning 2 of the 3 games in Columbia this weekend. The big draft names in the series were Vandy RHP Sonny Gray who gave up three runs and 11 hits in 7.2 innings while striking out 7 including Gamecock outfielder Jackie Bradley jr who went 3-for-14 this weekend and now has a .278 average on the year. Rice third baseman Anthony Rendon went 2-9 and now has a .349 average and is re-establishing himself as a top draft prospect while UCLA’s Gerrit Cole struggled a little pitching 8 innings, giving up 5 runs but striking out 11. Once again he was outperformed by teammate Trevor Bauer who threw a complete game four-hit shut-out while striking out 13 and lowering his ERA to 1.47. This is a deep draft and with some performances it is getting deeper.

What to Watch

The beginning of two huge series on the West coast with the Giants going to Colorado with both teams looking to make an early statement while the Angels visit the Texas Rangers as both attempt to make their mark of the AL West.